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nevada the ground game, harry reid's political machine, i think obama is going to win, nevada. >> greta: you are from wisconsin, john, and you were just there. >> i was. everywhere you go you meet people who voted for obama the last time and are going to vote for mitt romney this time around. you have a lot of people switching sides over there. the scott walker recall energized republicans and brought independents into the republican party who liked what scott walker was doing. there are couple of problems facing mitt romney. one is that the recall electorate that gave scott walker a 7 point margin of victory supported obama. there is still a problem there of 500,000 voters who came out in 2008 who didn't come out out in the recall. people think those are obama voters and if they come out that could spell bad news. >> greta: bart star now endorsed governor romney and in wisconsin he is a big deal. does is it have any impact? >> he is a big deal. but president obama had charles woodson the other day. if aaron rodgers had been there on the ground probably a 20 point holdout for mitt romne
nevada the ground game, harry reid's political machine, i think obama is going to win, nevada. >> greta: you are from wisconsin, john, and you were just there. >> i was. everywhere you go you meet people who voted for obama the last time and are going to vote for mitt romney this time around. you have a lot of people switching sides over there. the scott walker recall energized republicans and brought independents into the republican party who liked what scott walker was doing....
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>> wisconsin or nevada. i know that nevada is going to be very close, the democrats have got even about the base number that they need for a lead in early voting, but republican enthusiasm as am in the cow counties is high. it's going to be a narrow victory for either side. i think the most likely is nevada and wisconsin. bill: what is the likely scenario for the president? he's going to three different states today. he's at 201, okay. so if he were to go to wisconsin, ohio, and iowa just today, so give him wisconsin, iowa, and the state of ohio, he's at 237. so on the remaining map here you see these strategies in the final moments now and where they pick and where they go and the reasons why. say the president were to pick pennsylvania, he's at 255. and so now at this moment based on this scenario and all the polling we have seen maybe he takes michigan. that would be enough to get him to 271. >> this shows the centrality of ohio. i don't think he's going to carry ohio. i've been food link on th7,000 democ
>> wisconsin or nevada. i know that nevada is going to be very close, the democrats have got even about the base number that they need for a lead in early voting, but republican enthusiasm as am in the cow counties is high. it's going to be a narrow victory for either side. i think the most likely is nevada and wisconsin. bill: what is the likely scenario for the president? he's going to three different states today. he's at 201, okay. so if he were to go to wisconsin, ohio, and iowa just...
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states like new mexico, probably nevada, obama is going to win. so that is where the money is going. it is going to ohio. we have new money in pennsylvania. that is likely to stay in obama's column. but this is where with, coming down to the wire and, you know, the real possibility here is that romney could win the popular vote and just fall short in electoral college. that is looking like a possibility. but romney, romney advisors of course say they have the momentum and that they're going to close the gap in ohio over the next several days. jon: well they're also looking at some states that republicans traditionally haven't done well at. michigan, minnesota, wisconsin, maybe pennsylvania. romney has a chance in each of those states. >> yeah, the polls show he does have a shot. i think that the best shot out of all those four is wisconsin. obviously paul ryan's home state. the polls have been kind of all over the map there where obama had a big lead earlier and then it tightened. certainly paul ryan is helping in wisconsin. it is such a political
states like new mexico, probably nevada, obama is going to win. so that is where the money is going. it is going to ohio. we have new money in pennsylvania. that is likely to stay in obama's column. but this is where with, coming down to the wire and, you know, the real possibility here is that romney could win the popular vote and just fall short in electoral college. that is looking like a possibility. but romney, romney advisors of course say they have the momentum and that they're going to...
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points. >> but democrats trail in target states i mentioned but especially virginia, ohio, iowa and nevada. early absentee voting is not where it was for democrats in 2008. >> we had a thing back and forth and every single one of these is a toss up. each one. including pennsylvania. but, tomorrow, mitt romney 8 be in virginia, virginia, ohio, and new hampshire. look at states, and he has virginia, he has to work on ohio, and new hampshire is a toss up. bob: why he is going there? >> he has to win. obama will be in wisconsin, ohio, and iowa, both spending time in ohio. but interesting that obama goes to wisconsin which would indicate he is concerned about wisconsin. if ohio goes to romney, obama has to have wisconsin. >> speaking of ohio, the g.o.p. is 250,000 votes ahead of where they were four years ago in early voting. that is a state that obama won by 260,000 votes so they is wiped out the obama lead. >> i am not a numbers person, i try to pull out of that but i try to look at feeling. certainly, when you look at ohio in 2008, i don't think there is any republican who could have sat her
points. >> but democrats trail in target states i mentioned but especially virginia, ohio, iowa and nevada. early absentee voting is not where it was for democrats in 2008. >> we had a thing back and forth and every single one of these is a toss up. each one. including pennsylvania. but, tomorrow, mitt romney 8 be in virginia, virginia, ohio, and new hampshire. look at states, and he has virginia, he has to work on ohio, and new hampshire is a toss up. bob: why he is going there?...
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nevada, all the polls have the president lead bug it is close. same thing in wisconsin. president is ahead in all the polls except rasmussen, who has the race tied at 49. florida, all the policy out this week has obama leading romney, but very close. and in the commonwealth, up 5 points but cbs has the president up by two. north carolina, rasmussen has romney up by 6 and survey usa has the governor leading by 5. new hampshire, new england college has obama up by 6 over mitt romney. last week rasmussen had romney up by 2. and nbc has the president up by 6 points. got all that? joining us now from boston, david. he directs polling. >> he want to run it down from your point of view. you have canvassed the whole country, know what's going on. ohio, how do you see it? >> i see it really close. if you look at the last four polls, it's one point. 1 through 8 the poll was average four to five points. what we look at is the head-to-head number. the last three consecutive polls, excluding the two you mentioned were at 48. that's a sign of vulnerability. obviously you have seven ca
nevada, all the polls have the president lead bug it is close. same thing in wisconsin. president is ahead in all the polls except rasmussen, who has the race tied at 49. florida, all the policy out this week has obama leading romney, but very close. and in the commonwealth, up 5 points but cbs has the president up by two. north carolina, rasmussen has romney up by 6 and survey usa has the governor leading by 5. new hampshire, new england college has obama up by 6 over mitt romney. last week...
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i think it will bes hispanic states near me, colorado, nevada. >> i will take the florida. >> let me ask you one last question do you think reagan said with fewer americans working when they took office 1-6 in poverty 17 million more of americans on today stamps. 6 trillion in debt. are you going to say we were better off than a year ago. the president has created 5.7 nobs after a month mt. 800,000 emotion of god. >> i thing you would use the receipt tick of resing voting. sploetling. i appreciate you being hasn'ter, i hough [ dennis ] it only took two minutes for this town to be destroyed. to a little girl who lived through it, this is more than a teddy bear. it's a step towards normal. it's why allstate catastrophe teams not only have hot coffee and help for grownups... they've also handed out more than twelve thousand teddy bears to kids. people come first... everything else is second. that's allstate's stand. are you in good hands? huh? you're not my dad ahhhhh!!! hey honey, back feels better, little dancing tonight, you and me? hey boy, you wanna go for a walk? dr. scholl's pro
i think it will bes hispanic states near me, colorado, nevada. >> i will take the florida. >> let me ask you one last question do you think reagan said with fewer americans working when they took office 1-6 in poverty 17 million more of americans on today stamps. 6 trillion in debt. are you going to say we were better off than a year ago. the president has created 5.7 nobs after a month mt. 800,000 emotion of god. >> i thing you would use the receipt tick of resing voting....
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but obama looks to have nevada locked up despite the awful unemployment situation in that state. our pal larry sabato teaches at the university of virginia is predicting an obama win, 290 electoral votes to romney's 248 if obama -- if obama is the winner, that tally sounds about right. but carl rove sees it the opposite way. mr. rove will be here in a moment. of course dick morris continues to maintain that romney will win big. carrying pennsylvania and ohio, which would assure a romney victory. both morris and sabato will be on this program wednesday. again, i cannot make a prediction tonight. it pains pee. i don't like it. but i have to be honest. i can't do it. because even at this late date, some americans could still vote either way. both candidates still have a fighting chance. and that's the memo. next on the run down. the aforementioned carl rove will tell me how tragically wrong i am or something. and then, krauthammer, hume, powers, march will all weighen in n. on the fact tour tomorrow. we'll be right back. ♪ [ male announcer ] it started long ago. the joy of giving
but obama looks to have nevada locked up despite the awful unemployment situation in that state. our pal larry sabato teaches at the university of virginia is predicting an obama win, 290 electoral votes to romney's 248 if obama -- if obama is the winner, that tally sounds about right. but carl rove sees it the opposite way. mr. rove will be here in a moment. of course dick morris continues to maintain that romney will win big. carrying pennsylvania and ohio, which would assure a romney...
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what do you make of colorado, nevada, iowa, new hampshire? >> well, look, the easiest way to look at this is even if you look at the real clear politics average which includes a lot of the goofy quinnipiac poles and marist polls. the republicans are winning, indiana,, north carolina, virginia and florida. in fact, if you take a look at that all of the mccain states plus 30s that they are waning and i do think they are going to win, republicans are going to win all four of these states. is they are at 248. then you look at ohio which i think the early vote numbers are clear indication of of what is going to happen in ohio. that s another 18 electoral votes. and then colorado which is, you know, is in the rcp average just under water, 9/10 of a percent. but that is largely because of a couple of outliar polls that have huge numbers more democrats than republicans. i think we are going to win colorado and that gets you 275. and we are going to pick up out of ohio, new hampshire, nevada or minnesota, pennsylvania or wisconsin we are going to pick
what do you make of colorado, nevada, iowa, new hampshire? >> well, look, the easiest way to look at this is even if you look at the real clear politics average which includes a lot of the goofy quinnipiac poles and marist polls. the republicans are winning, indiana,, north carolina, virginia and florida. in fact, if you take a look at that all of the mccain states plus 30s that they are waning and i do think they are going to win, republicans are going to win all four of these states. is...
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i think it will bes hispanic states near me, colorado, nevada. >> i will take the florida. >> let me ask you one last question do you think reagan said with fewer americans working when they took office 1-6 in poverty 17 million more of americans on today stamps. 6 trillion in debt. are you going to say we were better off than a year ago. the president has created 5.7 nobs after a month mt. 800,000 emotion of god. >> i thing you would use the receipt tick of resing voting. sploetling. i appreciate you being hasn'ter, i hough you are ka dual support. it gives us 5x the rewards on our internet, phone charges and cable, plus at office supply stores. rewards we put right back into our business. this is the only thing we've ever wanted to do and ink helps us do it. make your mark with ink from chase. new pink lemonade 5-hour energy? 5-hour energy supports the avon foundation for women breast cancer crusade. so i can get the energized feeling i need and support a great cause? i'm sold. pink lemonade 5-hour energy? yeah and a portion of every sale goes to the avon foundation for women breas
i think it will bes hispanic states near me, colorado, nevada. >> i will take the florida. >> let me ask you one last question do you think reagan said with fewer americans working when they took office 1-6 in poverty 17 million more of americans on today stamps. 6 trillion in debt. are you going to say we were better off than a year ago. the president has created 5.7 nobs after a month mt. 800,000 emotion of god. >> i thing you would use the receipt tick of resing voting....
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in nevada, north carolina, and here in battleground swing state of ohio. we're in the lorain county board of elections. they are not having problems here. but marion county, ohio, a woman said it happened to her. her name is joan stevens and she said he is voted for romney, up popped obama's name. did it again. three times se said until she was able to cast a correct ballot. >> i did know if it happened to anybody else or not but this is the first time in all the years we voted this has ever happened to me. >> election officials there say there is no problem. they blame human error that people bang the machine. secretary of state ofness ross miller tells us it's nearly technically impossible to preprogram the machines that similar allegations have been without merit. joan says check your vote. >> bret: keep pressing or let somebody know. >> exactly. paper trail, too, so check that also. >> okay. >> bret: thank you. a lot of things that were turned off and shut down because of hurricane sandy are back on tonight. we have two reports beginning with correspon
in nevada, north carolina, and here in battleground swing state of ohio. we're in the lorain county board of elections. they are not having problems here. but marion county, ohio, a woman said it happened to her. her name is joan stevens and she said he is voted for romney, up popped obama's name. did it again. three times se said until she was able to cast a correct ballot. >> i did know if it happened to anybody else or not but this is the first time in all the years we voted this has...
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and then when you drill down on specific wing states it differs, some polling of actual vote in nevada and iowa that shows president obama is doing better than mitt romney in those states and those are the states that going to decide the election. >> i think that's because and this is karl rove speaking now not me more democrats ordered voted early than republicans. bret baier will be anchor next tuesday. >> november 6th. >> bill: give you a jump on it for everybody. 19 million. romney ahead by 7% in new york. some of the key swing states the president in the lead. >> right. >> bill: former penn state president graham spanier. >> spanier. >> bill: he is a weasel, right? >> certainly seems so. >> bill: looks that way. he had indications that sandusky was molesting children on the campus of penn state. >> um-huh. >> bill: he did nothing. and now he is charged with? >> perjury, endangering will the welfare of children. conspiracy. failure to report child abuse. this guy spanier in position of power, obviously the president of the university. his story was some dust up with sandusky but i
and then when you drill down on specific wing states it differs, some polling of actual vote in nevada and iowa that shows president obama is doing better than mitt romney in those states and those are the states that going to decide the election. >> i think that's because and this is karl rove speaking now not me more democrats ordered voted early than republicans. bret baier will be anchor next tuesday. >> november 6th. >> bill: give you a jump on it for everybody. 19...
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i have been to nevada multiteletimes and colorado. i forget all the other places. went to iowa last week. we have gotten around. we are happy to do t. there is a lot of excitement out there. of course, all over florida in the last week with governor romney. everywhere we go, you can see the excitement. it's real, it's palpable. we can sense. it we are really excited about it. >> greta: this is a big country. i am curious, as you went to the states, was it usually the same issue -- can you tell -- because usually the rallies are speaking to the group. they are not having a profound amount of intersection because you are busy going somewhere else. but is it the same? >> you do. if you work the rope line or you get to talk to people on the ground, they will tell you, there are concerns about the economy and jobs, that's very real. there is a profound sense that the election is a choice between two very different types of people. where the government will increasingly become more dominant or a new future, where we reim-- embrace the free enterprise system and allow the
i have been to nevada multiteletimes and colorado. i forget all the other places. went to iowa last week. we have gotten around. we are happy to do t. there is a lot of excitement out there. of course, all over florida in the last week with governor romney. everywhere we go, you can see the excitement. it's real, it's palpable. we can sense. it we are really excited about it. >> greta: this is a big country. i am curious, as you went to the states, was it usually the same issue -- can you...
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bill: the early voting in nevada favored the president. at least that's what was reported and born out. in colorado that could be a bit of a surprise when you lose by 4 points. >> the romney people had a better early vote, led in the early vote in colorado. bill: you're right about that. >> that is very surprising. again i think because of both hispanics and women divided, the obama payable were able to create there nationwide helped them in colorado. bill: there are blue counties around denver, that is pretty significant when you're trying to win that state. second part of the country you're going to wisconsin, michigan and ohio. all three states are blue, what do you say? >> that was a big part of the blocking strategy, and i think part -- i mean with ryan being picked from wisconsin you had to pick up either wisconsin or ohio, and i think -- i think both of these are a little surprising that he didn't win one of them. bill: he loses by 7 in wisconsin. i don't know how many folks were predicting that in wisconsin. the fire wall was reall
bill: the early voting in nevada favored the president. at least that's what was reported and born out. in colorado that could be a bit of a surprise when you lose by 4 points. >> the romney people had a better early vote, led in the early vote in colorado. bill: you're right about that. >> that is very surprising. again i think because of both hispanics and women divided, the obama payable were able to create there nationwide helped them in colorado. bill: there are blue counties...
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ohioans have cast more than a million ballots and we're seeing in virginia, nevada and ohio, hundreds of thousands of ballots tasked and obviously in nevada, more than 50% of the electorate has already voted early. experts say that early voting has really changed the face of elections. listen. >> when you have 35 to 40% of the entire electorate voting early, some of them voting in september, much less october, early november, it's going to transform a presidential election. that's what we've seen. every day is now election day. >> with some states continuing early voting really right up to election day, we'll learn which party benefited. however, both president obama and governor romney say that they have the advantage with early voters. so both of them continue to encourage their base to get out and vote early. gregg, back to you. >> gregg: elizabeth, thanks very much. stick with fox news on election night. complete coverage beginning here on the fox news channel at 6:00 p.m. tuesday with megyn kelly and bret baier. you can catch shepard smith beginning at 7:00 p.m. on the fox networ
ohioans have cast more than a million ballots and we're seeing in virginia, nevada and ohio, hundreds of thousands of ballots tasked and obviously in nevada, more than 50% of the electorate has already voted early. experts say that early voting has really changed the face of elections. listen. >> when you have 35 to 40% of the entire electorate voting early, some of them voting in september, much less october, early november, it's going to transform a presidential election. that's what...
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get geico. >> gretchen: shocking allegations out of nevada as voters head to the polls. north carolina group known as alley pack plans to file a complaint that illegal immigrants are being allowed to vote there. in a letter to nevada's secretary of state, it claims the illegals are intentionally being registered and then pressured to vote. >>> 148 victims and family members suing the government now over the massacre at fort hood. they say the defense department is avoiding legal and financial responsibility by calling the shooting a workplace violence attack instead of a terrorist attack. 13 people were killed, including a pregnant woman. guys? >> brian: in 2008, our next guest was a proud supporter of president obama. as a registered democrat and small business owner, he believed a vote for obama meant a vote for job creation. four years later, he decided the president needs to step aside. >> steve: and joining us now is the owner of 35 appleby's franchises in the new york city area. good morning to you. >> good morning. >> steve: why did you switch? >> i guess four yea
get geico. >> gretchen: shocking allegations out of nevada as voters head to the polls. north carolina group known as alley pack plans to file a complaint that illegal immigrants are being allowed to vote there. in a letter to nevada's secretary of state, it claims the illegals are intentionally being registered and then pressured to vote. >>> 148 victims and family members suing the government now over the massacre at fort hood. they say the defense department is avoiding legal...
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the only swing states obama will carry are michigan and nevada and new mexico. the reason i believe that is if you read the distorted media polls, most of them start off with a far too many democrats and far too few republicans. the latest pew survey has a national margin of 3 points for obama has 4 points more democrats than republicans. but the gallup poll which is the most authoritative last week concluded that there were now three points more republicans than democrats in the country. so it's d-4 and the reality is r-3. so it's a 7-points distortion. so if you are showing romney losing by 3 he's running by 4. if you take the finding in the pew poll that republicans are 6% more likely to turn out than democrats. so instead of it being plus 7, instead of switching to it a romney win by 4, you now have a romney win by 6 or 7. and then you take the undecided vote which always goes against the i am couple bent. you allocate it 2 to 1 for romney you are talking about a win of 7-10 points. if you go through each of the states you can do a similar calculation. i don
the only swing states obama will carry are michigan and nevada and new mexico. the reason i believe that is if you read the distorted media polls, most of them start off with a far too many democrats and far too few republicans. the latest pew survey has a national margin of 3 points for obama has 4 points more democrats than republicans. but the gallup poll which is the most authoritative last week concluded that there were now three points more republicans than democrats in the country. so...
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we go to nevada, then ohio, then florida, ohio. then virginia, then ohio. they feel like even though they have got an event this afternoon at the airport in columbus they need to come back here one more time. very unusual for a presidential candidate to come out to do an event on election day. typically they wrap up around midnight as governor romney is planning to tonight in manchester, new hampshire with kid rock and others and go back to the home base and sit there and go vote. they wait for election results to come in that night. governor romney and his campaign feeling because they feel like they could grab ohio? they have been very confident about that with their conversations with me or they feel like they need to come back here because it is slipping away. we also don't know what type of event it will be or where it will be. the columbus, dayton area has been a focus. they want to reinforce ham milt ton county -- hamilton county in cincinnati or collier county in cleveland. we don't know what will happen or what form it will take because you don't w
we go to nevada, then ohio, then florida, ohio. then virginia, then ohio. they feel like even though they have got an event this afternoon at the airport in columbus they need to come back here one more time. very unusual for a presidential candidate to come out to do an event on election day. typically they wrap up around midnight as governor romney is planning to tonight in manchester, new hampshire with kid rock and others and go back to the home base and sit there and go vote. they wait for...
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or it could be nevada. that would do it as well. the point is, in this scenario, at this point in the race, it is much easier for barack obama to get to the white house than it is for mitt romney. but, again, we are waiting on florida, north carolina, virginia, ohio, colorado, and just a couple more. we'll find out shortly. back to you. >> megyn: bill, thanks. >> bret: that's helpful to give perspective where we are on the night and also with more perspective our panel. we bring them back. brit, juan, kirsten, and steve. okay, steve, wisconsin going to president obama. you are a wisconsinite. >> i am, indeed. well, it was always going to be a tough state, especially recently. i mean, i think there is going to be a big discussion, probably be a lot of second-guessing among wisconsinites, among republicans about how much attention was paid it to wisconsin by the romney campaign should mitt romney should the candidate have spent more time in wisconsin. he went there shortly after the june 5th recall and gave a speech. he was back on au
or it could be nevada. that would do it as well. the point is, in this scenario, at this point in the race, it is much easier for barack obama to get to the white house than it is for mitt romney. but, again, we are waiting on florida, north carolina, virginia, ohio, colorado, and just a couple more. we'll find out shortly. back to you. >> megyn: bill, thanks. >> bret: that's helpful to give perspective where we are on the night and also with more perspective our panel. we bring...
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instance, which don't know where that state will ultimately end up, take, florida, virginia, colorado, nevada, those are states that used to be reliably conservative and seem to have gone into the, well, they all went into the obama category this time. we don't know about florida yet. you change those around, you have got a different president. what happened? >> well i think in large part it was the presence of the latino vote as a significant bloc, jon. i think this is part of the changing face of america in general and population. but in the specific context of last night's election it is the changing face of the american electorate. you take a state like florida, you know, used to be, you would think, it is cuban-americans. now as we heard, puerto ricans, people coming from all over latin america. they are not reliably republican voters. in fact, last night, cuban-americans went for romney but the rest of that latino population, way outnumbered them and went heavily for president obama. and you know this is reflected then in questions like, you know, which candidate cares about people like
instance, which don't know where that state will ultimately end up, take, florida, virginia, colorado, nevada, those are states that used to be reliably conservative and seem to have gone into the, well, they all went into the obama category this time. we don't know about florida yet. you change those around, you have got a different president. what happened? >> well i think in large part it was the presence of the latino vote as a significant bloc, jon. i think this is part of the...